Goldman Sachs shook up its ratings on the oil-services sector today, and made a notable adjustment to its "conviction buy" list -- Halliburton (NYSE: HAL) was ousted from the roster in favor of Transocean Inc. (NYSE: RIG). The brokerage firm still maintains a "buy" rating on HAL, but it's pretty obvious that the stock is now playing Jan Brady to RIG's Marcia.
So, why does Goldman prefer RIG to HAL? The former is more strongly levered to oil than the latter -- and, going forward, the analysts expect strong fundamentals and heightened oil prices to support "oilier" stocks. In a note to clients, Goldman said, "... we continue to expect a healthy oil-services spending environment through 2010, supported by low reinvestment rates and secular trends to more complex, high-margin drilling services."
Despite the bullish "buy" ratings on both securities, Goldman tempered its optimism by trimming its price targets on the duo. HAL's forecast was slashed from $63 to $58, while RIG's was trimmed from $189 to $178. The new price targets represent a 44.5% premium from HAL's closing price yesterday, and a 47% increase from RIG's Thursday settlement.
Dollar Financial Corporation (NASDAQ: DLLR) operates over 1,450 financially-oriented service stores in the U.S., Canada, Ireland and the U.K. Its customers are typically low to moderate income service sector earners, who don't use, or have access to banks. Services include check cashing, short-term consumer loans, money order/transfer products, reloadable debit cards, electronic tax filing, bill payment services and legal document processing. The company does business under the names Money Mart, Loan Mart, Insta-Cheques and Money Shop.
Dollar Financial pleased investors last week, when it reported fiscal Q4 EPS of 59 cents and revenues of $150.3 million. Analysts had been looking for 58 cents and $136.3 million. The CEO noted that fiscal 2008 brought record annual revenues and a record net income. Management also guided FY09 revenues to $595-$625 million, versus Street consensus of $586.28 million. JMP Securities subsequently reiterated its "market outperform" rating on the stock. Jefferies and Roth Capital reiterated their "buys".
Jefferies upgraded shares of GrafTech (NYSE: GTI) to Buy from Hold as they believe electrode pricing increases should more than offset the increase in raw material costs over the next year. The firm raised their target to $30 from $22.
JP Morgan upgraded Navistar (NYSE: NAV) to Overweight from Neutral following the strong Q3 report and raised outlook.
Monsanto (NYSE: MON) was raised to Outperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse.
Analyst downgrades:
Goldman Sachs downgraded shares of Merrill Lynch (NYSE: MER) to Sell from Neutral and added the stock to the Conviction Sell List as they expect additional write-downs and believe the stock has the highest price to book multiple among the large cap brokers they cover. Goldman lowered their target on MER shares to $22 from $28.50.
UBS cut STMicroelectronics (NYSE: STM) to Sell from Neutral on concerns over excess inventories and the company's joint venture with Ericssono (NASDAQ: ERIC).
B. Riley downgraded Captaris (NASDAQ: CAPA) to Neutral from Buy to reflect the acquisition by Open Text (NASDAQ: OTEX), as they do not expect a materially higher bid to emerge.
Jefferies believes FGX International's (NAS: FGXI) market-leading position in over-the-counter readers should benefit from favorable demographics and a mix shift from more expensive Rx glasses. The firm started shares with a Buy rating and $17 target.
Baird initiated Felcor Lodging (NYSE: FCH) with a Neutral rating and $8 target, citing slowing industry trends and its higher cost balance sheet.
Friedman Billings reinitiated AutoZone (NYSE: AZO) with a Market Perform rating and $131 target. The firm believes the company's slowing earnings growth and likely peak margins make the valuation fair at best at current levels.
Morgan Stanley started Potash (NYSE: POT) and Waters (NYSE: WAT) with Overweight ratings and target of $280 and $81, respectively.
U.S. stock futures are pointing to further declines following a rough session where the Dow plunged 344 points and ahead of the jobs report mostly feared to show weakness in the labor market. Non-farm payroll is expected to show a job loss of 75,000 but the unemployment remain unchanged. Meanwhile, international markets sank following U.S. markets. Also affecting mood this morning is Goldman's call to sell Merrill Lynch.
Goldman Sachs downgraded Merrill Lynch & Co. (NYSE: MER) to Sell from Neutral and added the firm to its conviction sell list. MER stock is plunging 6.6% in pre-market trading. Goldman said valuation and the likelihood of further write-downs are the reasons. Goldman also lowered its third-quarter EPS forecast to a loss of $5.75 a share.
SanDisk (NASDAQ: SNDK) shares are shooting up 26% in pre-market trading after Samsung Electronics said it may buy the flash memory maker. There are no concrete announcements or details as to price yet.
And at Boeing (NYSE: BA), the company continues to negotiate with labor leaders to avert an expensive strike it cannot afford. Negotiators and mediators are trying to work to avert the strike voted for by the union during the 48 hour extension.
Oppenheimer upgraded shares of Shanda Interactive (NASDAQ: SNDA) to Outperform from Perform following the company's better-than-expected quarter to reflect its growth acceleration in the casual games platform and margin improvements.
SAIC (NYSE: SAI) was upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform following the solid Q2 report and guidance.
Susquehanna upgraded Zumiez (NASDAQ: ZUMZ) to Positive from Neutral citing positive August comps, revised merchandising, easier comps, and solid financial position.
Novellus (NASDAQ: NVLS) was raised to Overweight from Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley.
Analyst downgrades:
Morgan Stanley downgraded the Semiconductor Capital Equipment sector to In-Line from Attractive citing optimistic expectations for Q4 orders following the recent bounce in stocks. The firm downgraded Lam Research (NASDAQ: LRCX) to Underweight from Overweight and KLA-Tencor (NASDAQ: KLAC) KLAC to Equal Weight from Overweight.
Stock futures were lower this morning as oil rose back above $110 a barrel and investors awaited a barrage of economic data due today including weekly oil inventories. Other economic indicators include data on employment, manufacturing and productivity. Also, retailers will be announcing August same-store sales. Overall, sales are expected to rise 2%. Meanwhile, the Bank of England and the European Central Bank are deciding their interest rate policy today, where the ECB could tighten.
The first of the retailers has already reported August sales. Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (NYSE: WMT) said sales increased 3% in August, beating its forecast. Seems discounts drew shoppers. WMT shares are up over 1% in pre-market.
Unfortunately for Boeing (NYSE: BA), The International Machinists and Aerospace Workers union, which represents nearly 27,000 machinists, voted to strike as they rejected Boeing's contract offer. The union, however, postponed the strike by 48 hours as the two parties go to mediation. Boeing will likely suffer from a strike at a time it's struggling to stand by its Dreamliner obligations. BA stock is down over 1% in pre-market.
BP PLC (NYSE: BP) shares stand to rise after it finally reached an agreement with its billionaire Russian partners have over TNK-BP. While BP remains with a 50% holding in the venture, it has made many concessions, including agreeing to have the CEO Dudley leave. Shares are up over 2% in pre-market.
Goldman upgraded shares of BP Plc (NYSE: BP) to Buy from Neutral on valuation as they believe the recent pullback provides an attractive entry point.
VF Corp. (NYSE: VFC) was raised to Outperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse citing its acquisition platform and international growth. The company's target was increased to $100 from $88.
Deutsche Bank upgraded shares of Tenet Healthcare (NYSE: THC) to Buy from Hold and increased its target to $8.50 from $7 to reflect increased confidence in the company's ability to beat expectations over the next 12 months and reduce its net debt.
US Steel (NYSE: X) was raised to Sector Outperformer from Sector Performer at CIBC.
Tiffany & Co. (NYSE: TIF) is engaged in the design, manufacture, and retailing of fine jewelry, timepieces, sterling silverware, china, crystal, stationery, fragrances and personal accessories. The firm sells its goods exclusively through some 150 stores worldwide, a Web site and catalogs.
The company pleased investors last week, when it reported Q2 EPS of 63 cents and revenues of $732.4 million. Analysts had been expecting 55 cents and $720.6 million. Management also guided FY09 EPS to $2.82-$2.92 ($2.83 consensus). The CEO noted, "Our continued expansion throughout Asia and Europe should contribute to increasingly consistent and resilient long-term earnings growth." Lehman Brothers subsequently reiterated its "overweight" rating on the issue.
Stock futures were lower this morning as investors digested the decline in commodity prices and awaited a slew of economic readings. Data on employment, manufacturing and auto sales will be reported during the morning and throughout the day. At 2:00 p.m., the Federal Reserve's Beige Book, which gives an overall picture on the economy will be released.
Coca-Cola Co. (NYSE: KO) said it is offering $2.4 billion for China Huiyuan Juice Group Ltd., triple Huiyuan's market value. This is Coke's largest acquisition by value to date in China and gives the company a leg in the fast-growing and dynamic Chinese juice market. Coke also said that it expects to buy back a total of $1 billion of its stock for the full year. The Boeing Co.'s (NYSE: BA) workers are prepared to vote Wednesday. Union members are scheduled to cast two ballots: one regarding Boeing's latest offer, which union leaders are recommending to reject, and another on whether to begin a strike. Results of the vote are expected Wednesday night.
More information is coming out regarding Korea Development Bank interest in Lehman Brothers (NYSE: LEH). According to reports in The Chosun Ilbo, South Korea's largest mass-circulation daily, state-owned KDB has made a proposal to acquire 25% of U.S. Lehman for as much as 6 trillion won ($5.3 billion). HSBC Holdings (NYSE: HBC) and an unnamed Chinese bank are said to be vying with the KDB for the Lehman stake.
RBC Capital upgraded Sciele Pharma (NASDAQ: SCRX) to Sector Perform from Underperform following the acquisition by Shionogi.
Merrill believes Alcoa (NYSE: AA) may pursue an acquisition of Alumina Ltd (NYSE: AWC) following recent share weakness. Shares of Alumina were upgraded to Buy from Underperform.
Stanford upgraded shares of Google (NASDAQ: GOOG) to Buy from Hold after channel checks indicated U.S. search market trends have stabilized as they believe GOOG's market share gains are broadening, Q3 expectations are modest and the valuation is near lows. The firm has a $550 target on the stock.
Lowe's (NYSE: LOW) was raised to Buy from Neutral at Goldman.
Analyst downgrades:
WestLB downgraded shares of Ericsson (NASDAQ: ERIC) to Reduce from Hold as they believe the company's Q3 earnings could miss expectations.
Lehman downgraded Intersil (NASDAQ: ISIL) to Equal Weight from Overweight based PC exposure and market share loss in notebook power. The company's target was lowered to $24 from $29.
Dean Foods (NYSE: DF) was lowered to Equal Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley.
Gilead Sciences (NASDAQ: GILD) was cut to Neutral from Buy at Banc of America.
Citigroup initiated Eastman Kodak (NYSE: EK) with a Sell rating and $13 target. The firm believes 2008 consensus estimates and guidance are too high given the company's headwinds.
GT Solar (NASDAQ: SOLR) was assumed with a Neutral rating and $16 target at Banc of America. The firm believes the risk/reward is balanced at current levels with no significant new polysilicon opportunity. Shares were also initiated at Thomas Weisel with an Overweight rating and $18 target and at UBS with a Buy rating and $19 target.
Citigroup initiated Xerox (NYSE: XRX) with a Buy rating and $20 target and Electronics for Imaging (NASDAQ: EFII) with a Hold rating and $18 target.
U.S. stock futures were higher Tuesday morning as oil dropped $8 a barrel following little damage to oil rigs in the Gulf of Mexico from Gustav. Tuesday marks the return of many from the holiday weekend and the beginning of the school year. While oil will undoubtedly be the focus today, construction spending and ISM Index numbers are also due.
Korea Development Bank is in talks to buy a stake in Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. (NYSE: LEH), Bloomberg reports. LEH shares are climbing over 5.5% in pre-market trading after CEO of the Korean bank confirmed the discussions. According to the Sunday Telegraph, KDB could inject as much as $6 billion of additional capital into Lehman. No doubt, this is something Fuld has been hoping for following the massive writedowns Lehman took. But is it something Americans wants as more foreign government-backed firms buy into Wall Street companies.
Meanwhile, the internet is abuzz over Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG)'s introduction Tuesday of its own internet browser, Chrome, as it further butts heads with Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ: MSFT). While Microsoft has its Internet Explorer, other browsers exist, including the popular Mozilla's Firefox. Google claims its browser is designed better to show web applications and provide higher protection. GOOG shares are climbing over 1.5% in pre-market trading on the news.
Meanwhile, Alcatel-Lucent (NYSE: ALU) revamped its top management on Tuesday and named a former BT boss Ben Verwaayen as its new chief executive and Lagardere executive Philippe Camus as its new chairman. ALU shares are down about 1.5% in pre-market trading.
Merriman upgraded shares of Netezza (NYSE: NZ) to Buy from Neutral following the company's solid Q2 results as they believe it is well-positioned for strong operating results heading into 2H09.
JP Morgan raised Cabot (NYS: CBT) to Overweight from Neutral. The firm expects 2009 to be a better year given lower raw material costs and higher contract prices.
JP Morgan also upgraded Royal Ahold (OTC: AHONY) to Overweight from Neutral on valuation.
BMO Capital upgraded Royal Bank (NYSE: RY) to Market Perform from Underperform and Bank of Montreal (NYSE: BMO) to Outperform from Market Perform.
Analyst downgrades:
Jefferies downgraded shares of Constellation Energy (NYSE: CEG) to Underperform on Hold on concerns the company will come under increasing pressure to issue equity. The firm lowered its target to $60 from $71.
Thomas Weisel downgraded Williams-Sonoma (NYSE: WSM) to Market Weight from Overweight citing continued macro pressures.
Wachovia has concerns that Kayne Anderson's (NYSE: KED) book value will be pressured by its investment in ProPetro Services, trading losses associated with SemGroup, and negative developments at Quest Midstream. The firm cut shares of Kayne to Market Perform from Outperform.
H&E Equipment (NASDAQ: HEES) was lowered at Credit Suisse to Neutral from Outperform.
Analyst initiations:
Morgan Stanley yesterday initiated Elan Corp (NYSE: ELN) with an Overweight rating. The firm sees a low-probability of a Tysabri withdrawal.
ThinkPanmure views On Semiconductor (NASDAQ: ONNN) as a nice turnaround story with opportunities for shares gains in notebooks and consumer gaming platforms. Shares were initiated with a Buy rating and $14 target.
Petrohawk Energy (NYSE: HK) was assumed with an Outperform rating at Morgan Keegan.
Regency Energy (NASDAQ: RGNC) was initiated at Merrill Lynch with a Neutral rating.
Goldman upgraded BT Group (NYSE: BT) to Buy from Neutral on valuation and improved earnings visibility.
Soleil upgraded shares of Jo Ann Stores (NYSE: JAS) to Buy from Hold following the company's Q2 upside surprise to reflect strong fundamentals and market share gains. The firm raised Jo Ann's target to $30 from $25.
Amylin Pharma (NASDAQ: AMLN) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Merrill Lynch.
Energen (NYSE: EGN) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS.
Analyst downgrades:
Roth Capital downgraded shares of Warner Chilcott (NASDAQ: WCRX) to Hold from Buy pending patent clarity for the company's lead drug, Loestrin 24 for birth control. The firm lowered their target to $18 from $20.
JP Morgan cut China Mobile (NYSE: CHL) to Underweight from Overweight as they believe increased competition may limit earnings growth.
Cantor downgraded shares of Cell Genesys (NASDAQ: CEGE) to Hold from Buy following the termination of the VITAL-2 Phase III clinical trial. The firm also lowered their target to $2 from $10.
Coca-Cola (NYSE: KO) was lowered to Neutral from Outperform at Credit Suisse.
Gilead Sciences (NASDAQ: GILD) was downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Lehman.
Cinemark (NYSE: CNK) was downgraded at BMO Capital to Market Perform from Outperform.
Stock futures were flattish Thursday morning as oil prices rose due to continued concern over Gustav. However, some retailers have posted better-than-expected earnings. Still, there are several economic reports due before the open that could sway sentiment either way, including revised GDP for the second quarter. [Update: Futures turned positive after the report U.S. gross domestic product grew by 3.3% in the second quarter - much higher than previously stated.]
U.S. jeweler Tiffany & Co (NYSE: TIF) posted double the quarterly profit from a year ago on Thursday, benefiting from strong international sales and solid tourist spending at its New York flagship store. Net profit was $80.8 million, or 63 cents per share, in its fiscal second quarter, up from $40.5 million, or 29 cents per share a year earlier, and beating estimates of 55 cents per share. Revenue grew 11%. Tiffany also raised its 2008 profit outlook on strong sales in Europe and Asia and expected improvement in the U.S. TIF shares are up over 6% in premarket trading.
On the other hand, department store retailer Sears Holdings (NASDAQ: SHLD) reported a 62% plunge in second-quarter net profit to $65 million, or 50 cents per share. Excluding a gain, Sears earned 21 cents, trailing some analysts' estimates by 15 cents. Chief Executive Bruce Johnson said the results were affected by the "slowing economy." It seems some, though, still have confidence in Chairman Lampert.
Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM), the mortgage finance giant, shook up its executive ranks Wednesday. "Its chief financial officer and two other top executives are leaving the company. Three current executives were promoted to replace them." CEO Mudd kept his job. Shares of Fannie and sibling Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE) have been rising after concern over a government bailout lessened. In premarket trading, FNM and FRE shares are up over 6% and 5% respectively.
Goldman upgraded shares of British Sky Broadcasting (NYSE: BSY) to Buy from Neutral and added the company to the Conviction Buy List as they find the stock oversold at current levels.
Goldman also added Publicis (OTC: PUBGY) to the Conviction Buy List and upgraded shares to Buy from Neutral as they find the stock cheap at current levels.
Oneok (NYSE: OKE) was upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Lehman.
Baird downgraded Amylin Pharma (NASDAQ: AMLN) to Neutral from Outperform and said they are incrementally more cautious on the commercial performance of Amylin's Byetta following the yesterday's update. Amylin's target was lowered to $27 from $37. Soleil recommends investors avoid Amylin with the disclosure last night of four additional cases of mortality associated with pancreatitis in patients who were on Byetta. The firm cut shares to Sell from Hold and lowered their target to $20 from $25.
Citigroup downgraded shares of AMR Corp. (NYSE: AMR) to Sell from Hold on valuation as they find the stock expensive following the recent run-up. The firm raised their target to $9 from $6.70 to reflect the drop in crude prices.
J Crew (NYSE: JCG) was downgraded to Hold from Buy at Brean Murray following the weak Q2 report and guidance.
JMP Securities downgraded Quality Systems (NASDAQ: QSII) to Market Perform from Outperform.
National Grid (NYSE: NGG) was lowered to Equal Weight from Overweight at Lehman.
Goldman Sachs shook up its ratings on the oil-services sector today, and made a notable adjustment to its "conviction buy" list -- Halliburton (NYSE: HAL) was ousted from the roster in favor of Transocean Inc. (NYSE: RIG). The brokerage firm still maintains a "buy" rating on HAL, but it's pretty obvious that the stock is now playing Jan Brady to RIG's Marcia.
.gif){kind=logo}
U.S. stock futures are pointing to further declines following a rough session where the Dow plunged 344 points and ahead of the jobs report mostly feared to show weakness in the labor market. Non-farm payroll is expected to show a job loss of 75,000 but the unemployment remain unchanged. Meanwhile, 
U.S. stock futures were higher Tuesday morning as .gif){kind=logo}
The week in preview: Chicken soup (or a doughnut) for the recession-weary soul?
Comfort Zone Investing: Oil's down, which is a start, but not good enough
Stocks have their worst week in six years
